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Market

Arthur Hayes: Hyperliquid Could Dominate Prediction Markets Thanks to HYPE Token

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes believes that the native HYPE token will give Hyperliquid a decisive edge over Kalshi and Polymarket in the prediction markets segment.

April 30, 2026/3 min
Analytics

Study: Polymarket Accuracy Driven by 3% of Traders, Not 'Wisdom of the Crowd'

Researchers from London Business School and Yale University found that Polymarket's prediction accuracy stems from a small group of skilled traders, not the collective intelligence of its massive user base.

April 27, 2026/2 min
Regulation

Kalshi Bans Three US Politicians for Betting on Their Own Elections

Prediction market platform Kalshi has imposed five-year bans and fines on three American politicians who placed wagers on the outcomes of their own electoral campaigns. Meanwhile, US states are tightening regulation of prediction markets.

April 23, 2026/4 min
Market

Phemex Launches Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket

Crypto exchange Phemex rolled out prediction markets on April 23, leveraging Polymarket's infrastructure and liquidity. The launch includes a four-week promotional campaign for traders.

April 23, 2026/2 min
Market

Kalshi and Polymarket to Launch Perpetual Futures on Crypto Assets

Leading prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket have both announced plans to offer perpetual futures trading on cryptocurrencies, bringing leveraged trading to their platforms.

April 22, 2026/2 min
Analytics

More Perfect Union Investigation Exposes Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi

American media outlet More Perfect Union rejected a partnership offer from Polymarket and instead conducted an investigation questioning the accuracy, fairness, and business model of prediction market platforms.

April 16, 2026/3 min
Analytics

Bernstein Forecasts Prediction Markets to Reach $1 Trillion by 2030

Bernstein analysts project that prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi could see combined volumes hit $1 trillion by 2030, driven by federal regulation and institutional demand.

April 15, 2026/3 min
Regulation

US Tax Experts Struggle to Agree on How to Tax Prediction Market Winnings

American tax professionals can't reach consensus on how users of prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi should report their earnings. The IRS has yet to issue official guidance.

April 7, 2026/3 min
Business

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Opens Door to Prediction Markets Entry

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said the world's largest bank may eventually enter the prediction markets space, as the sector hits record $23.2 billion in monthly trading volume.

April 3, 2026/3 min
Analytics

Prediction Markets Hit $20B Monthly Volume as Geopolitics Overtakes Crypto Bets

Monthly trading volume on prediction platforms has surged to a record $20 billion, with unique wallets tripling to 840,000. Geopolitical contracts now dominate over crypto-focused bets.

March 27, 2026/3 min
Market

Kalshi Raises Over $1 Billion, Surpassing Polymarket in Valuation

Prediction market platform Kalshi has closed a funding round exceeding $1 billion, doubling its valuation to $22 billion and overtaking rival Polymarket.

March 20, 2026/2 min
Business

Polymarket Partners with Palantir to Build AI-Powered Sports Betting Surveillance System

Prediction market Polymarket has teamed up with Palantir Technologies to develop a real-time monitoring system for detecting suspicious sports betting activity, powered by the Vergence AI engine.

March 10, 2026/2 min
Market

Kalshi Voids Khamenei Market: Traders Report $100K+ Losses

Prediction market Kalshi voided a market tied to Iran's supreme leader, citing ethical reasons. Despite CEO assurances of full refunds, traders report significant losses and threaten lawsuits.

March 1, 2026/4 min
Business

Insiders Netted Over $1M from ZachXBT Investigation Bets on Polymarket

On-chain researcher defioasis.eth found that 8 out of 10 top-earning wallets on a ZachXBT-related Polymarket market show signs of insider trading. Meanwhile, Kalshi is conducting roughly 200 insider trading investigations.

February 27, 2026/5 min

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