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Bitcoin Recovers Losses as Analysts Forecast Further Rally Amid Risk-Off Sentiment
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Bitcoin Recovers Losses as Analysts Forecast Further Rally Amid Risk-Off Sentiment

Bitcoin has fully recovered from its geopolitics-driven dip. Arthur Hayes and Robert Kiyosaki both point to conditions favoring further growth in digital and hard assets.

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CoinJP Editorial
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CoinJP Editorial · 0 articles

BTC Bounces Back: A Familiar Historical Pattern

Bitcoin has fully recovered from its recent decline triggered by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic instability. An analyst known as CryptoTalisman described this price behavior as a well-established historical pattern.

According to his analysis, during global shocks BTC initially drops alongside other risk assets due to broad-based liquidations. However, once the dust settles, the coin tends to outperform the market as capital flows into bitcoin as a neutral store of value.

Similar dynamics played out in 2020 and 2022, when crypto trading volumes surged sharply in response to weakening fiat currencies. Eroding trust in traditional financial institutions typically drives demand for decentralized alternatives.

BTC/USDT chart on Binance

15-minute BTC/USDT chart on Binance. Source: TradingView

Under conditions of elevated inflation and strict capital controls, bitcoin transforms into a tool for financial sovereignty and a hedge against fiat devaluation, shedding its image as a purely speculative instrument. CryptoTalisman noted that "smart money" is already accumulating BTC ahead of broader media coverage of the trend.

At the time of the original publication, bitcoin was trading at $65,799 (−2.2% over 24 hours).

Why This Matters

The convergence of bullish outlooks from several prominent crypto figures suggests a strengthening narrative: bitcoin is increasingly viewed not just as a speculative bet but as a legitimate defensive asset alongside gold and silver. Should the Federal Reserve pivot toward monetary easing, it could serve as a powerful catalyst for the entire crypto market. The concurrent rally in precious metals already supports the thesis that capital is rotating into "hard" assets.

Arthur Hayes: The Fed Will Fire Up the Printing Press

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes argues that the Federal Reserve will be forced to ease monetary policy in order to fund U.S. foreign policy initiatives. In his view, this will inevitably push crypto markets higher.

In a recent essay, Hayes cited historical precedent: during major international crises in 1990, 2001, and 2009, the Fed consistently responded by cutting rates and expanding the money supply. The current political environment, he believes, will demand substantial fiscal spending.

The longer uncertainty persists, the greater the likelihood of the "money printer" being activated to prop up the economy, according to Hayes. Until the Fed makes its move, however, he advises investors to exercise caution — predicting how long the government will spend billions on external objectives and what level of market drawdown authorities will tolerate remains impossible.

"The time to buy bitcoin and quality altcoins will come as soon as the Fed cuts rates or prints money to execute government plans," Hayes emphasized.

Robert Kiyosaki: Gold and Silver as an Inflation Shield

"Rich Dad Poor Dad" author Robert Kiyosaki once again stressed the importance of investing in hard assets. During periods of macroeconomic turmoil, he said, large capital invariably seeks protective instruments.

Gold price chart

Gold price dynamics. Source: Gold Price

Kiyosaki drew attention to the sharp spike in precious metals prices. At the time of writing, gold stood at $5,408 (+2.47% in 24 hours) and silver at $95.61 (+2.02%).

The entrepreneur highlighted the direct link between control over energy resources and global inflation levels. Fuel price fluctuations weaken national currencies and boost defense sector stocks. "Financially literate people watch money flows and incentives — they don't listen to politicians' speeches," Kiyosaki stated.

He illustrated the vulnerability of fiat systems by pointing to developing nations whose currencies have been virtually wiped out. At the same time, Kiyosaki stressed that gold and silver are not tools for getting rich quick — their sole purpose is to reliably protect savings from inflation and uncontrolled money printing.

Broader Context: Market at a Crossroads

On March 1, JAN3 CEO Samson Mow also predicted bitcoin appreciation, citing an overheated gold market. The alignment of bullish assessments from multiple independent market observers paints a picture where digital assets could emerge as the primary beneficiaries of the current macroeconomic uncertainty — provided monetary authorities ultimately shift to stimulus measures.

arthur-hayesbitcoinfederal-reservegoldmacro-analysisrisk-offrobert-kiyosaki

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does bitcoin recover after geopolitical crises?

Analysts observe that BTC initially drops alongside other risk assets during global shocks due to panic selling. Once markets stabilize, capital flows into bitcoin as a neutral store of value, often causing it to outperform the broader market.

What is Arthur Hayes' bitcoin prediction?

Hayes believes the Federal Reserve will be forced to ease monetary policy to fund U.S. foreign policy goals. He says the time to buy bitcoin and quality altcoins will come when the Fed cuts rates or expands the money supply.

What does Robert Kiyosaki say about gold and bitcoin?

Kiyosaki advocates investing in hard assets like gold, silver, and bitcoin as protection against inflation and fiat currency devaluation. He emphasizes that these assets serve as savings shields rather than tools for quick profits.

How high is gold price in 2026?

At the time of the report, gold was trading at $5,408, up 2.47% in 24 hours. Silver stood at $95.61, up 2.02%. Both metals are rallying as capital seeks safe-haven instruments amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Will the Fed cut rates and boost bitcoin?

Arthur Hayes argues that historical precedent from crises in 1990, 2001, and 2009 shows the Fed consistently responds with rate cuts and money supply expansion. He believes current geopolitical tensions will eventually trigger similar measures, benefiting crypto markets.

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